Friday, January 4, 2013

Kenyan Consumer Guide on Solar for Homes

Bankelele

Kenya is currently the largest market for solar home systems on the African continent and second largest in the world, after China, by both annual sales as well as total installed base. The Kenyan solar home system (SHS) category is considered the most competitive by far, and due to its history and heritage,one of the most developed, albeit primarily in the informal sector.  Today, there are over 350,000 solar home systems across Kenya and the market is still growing at more than 15% a year.

What does this mean for you, the consumer?

 Variety of solar options for rural households
Choice:  With so much to choose from and new products, services and business models being launched, how can you evaluate what kind of solution would work best for your household needs?

Not only is there something for every budget, but big names such as Safaricom, Total, Dayliff (Davis & Shirtliff), Sollatek and the IFC with its "Lighting Africa" initiative, all have something to offer.  Do you go with the brand that is backing the product or do you evaluate the category of product and its suitability for your home?

Lets start with what are the categories of  "solar products" and then take a closer look at each brand's offerings.  The products available in the market can be clustered broadly into the following:

1. "SHS in a box" or "Lighting kit in box"
2. Stand alone solar lanterns
3. Emerging "pay as you use" business models
4. Solar home systems (SHS)


1. "SHS in a box" or "Lighting kit in box":  Today, complete kits like the one shown belo are available in certain electrical shops around the country. This particular one, sells for somewhere around Kshs 15,000 (~$175)  and includes a motion sensor security light as well all the components required for installation.

They are available in three main sizes – small, medium and large – but keep in mind that since brands like these are social enterprises, they are aimed at the lower income demographic – and the 15W kit shown above is the 'Large' size but is limited to providing only lights, and will not be able to power a television set or a stereo system. Note also that the battery is not included. Depending on the brand, expect to pay around Kshs 4000 to 6000 extra.

An alternate type of kit is the Phillips one shown below, meant for middle class urban homes as a backup for electricity power cuts.  Available at selected Nakumatt supermarkets for Kshs 6,000 ($70), this is one of the most expensive backup solar light kits in the market,  however the elegant design and details such as a wall mounted light switch make it an attractive option for the upwardly mobile home.

Advantages and Disadvantages

The advantage of this type of complete kit is that all the components are ostensibly designed to work seamlessly together and everything necessary to the system up and running is available in one box.  This approach addresses one of the biggest challenges with SHS in Kenya which is the dearth of well trained fundis (technicians/installers/repairmen) with the experience and knowledge of designing a solar home system.

The disadvantage of such a system however is that it is limited to the components provided, in that one cannot simply add on and build a larger system. Some of the best provided homes in off-grid rural locales have extensive installations built up over time to power their entire homestead and numerous electrical appliances - so when choosing what kind of system to purchase, keep your future needs in mind.

2.  Solar Lanterns:
Due to donor funded support from institutions such as the IFC, whose Lighting Africa initiative offers market research information as well as quality audits on products, the Kenyan market is flooded with a large variety of solar lanterns, both with the ability to charge your mobile phone and without.

Total, for example, distributes d.Light's solar lanterns at it's retail petrol stations, while Nakumatt picks and chooses which products it will carry according to the needs of the location their outlets serve.   The basic light sold at Total costs Kshs. 999 ($12)  while the larger model which allows you to charge your mobile phone as well can go for upwards of Kshs. 3,000.

 Given the wide variety and choice available in the Nairobi market, one can choose according to design and price as per one's preference.  However, these solar solutions are limited to a single light and the vast majority of products tend to have the panel either embedded in the light source or attached to it permanently, limiting their flexibility.

Powerpoint's outlet in Twiga Towers is one of the few reputable solar specialists specializing in serving the needs of urban Nairobi's market.  As you can see, the range of solar lighting and solar lanterns offers something for everyone.  If you're thinking of something solar for your household, that's a great place to start your fact finding trip.

 Here, ToughStuff's ecosystem of products built to work independently around a durable solar panel – available at Nakumatt – offers you flexibility in terms of whether you want only a lightweight portable mobile phone charging solution or if you'd prefer a light or both.

3. (Pay as you go) Mobile Business Models for Solar products: With Safaricom's launch of the M-Kopa business model, customers now have the choice of paying for a solar product using M-Pesa over an extended period of time. The solar light is from d.light such as that available via Total.  Their kit contains 3 bright lights and a mobile charging system, similar to the "Kit in a box" described above.  The business model is designed to automatically deduct Kshs 40/= ($0.47)  from your account in order to use the lights until the point where you own the system. Alternatively the complete kit can be obtained for Kshs. 15,000 ($175) upfront.

Another is Eight19's Indigo pay as you go solar that seems to be piloting in Kenya. Here they use vouchers or scratch cards to top up your charge rather than directly via the SIM card. This is however still in the pilot stage as the company websites do not yet show a Kenyan outlet.

4. Solar home systems (SHS): Known colloquially in upcountry locations as "sola", the basic SHS consists of a solar panel, a battery for holding the charge,  between 2 to 4 fixtures for holding energy saver bulbs (known informally as "solar lights") and the requisite wiring.  These  kits can cost as little as Kshs 10,000 ($118)  including installation and tend to be the starting point for many homes seeking modern energy systems.

From here, one can build up to including invertors and larger panels such as the 100W-120W kits popular in Maasailand, that are able to power flat screen Sony Bravia televisions, kitchen appliances and the latest stereo systems in addition to lighting the home inside and out.  Colour television and new digital systems require 60W at minimum in order to work. Such panels alone cost around $200 upwards but prices are very rarely displayed and often negotiable.

For a household in Nairobi,  an SHS  would be the first recommendation. Dayliff is probably one of the most credible brand names, as long as the technology is German. (Be sure to the check the back of the panel to ensure this).  Ubbink is a newly launched brand that fundi's consider to be efficient and high quality. It is manufactured by a Dutch company establishing Kenya's first solar panel factory in Naivasha and their panels are smaller than average offering higher wattage and more affordable cost due to lack of import duties and transportation. Check them out. Its a commonly held fallacy that physical size of the panel is important.

Do's & Don'ts on How to buy an SHS:   (also applicable to the other options above)

* Do find a reputable fundi with references and experience in calculating your power requirements and designing the requisite home system. This is the biggest reason for customer unhappiness with the performance of solar energy.
* Don't try to talk to all and sundry and make up a list of components yourself. This is another major reason for inadequate systems that fail to meet customer needs.
* Do your homework however.  Nairobi's CBD is the heart of the solar power industry for the entire country and the latest products are seen here first.
 * Don't go window shopping without a list of minimum requirements on what you wish your SHS to be able to power and for how long.
* Do have an idea of your estimated budget. For a 3-bedroom house in  Nairobi, it's possible to start as low as $500.
* Don't let the salesman confuse you until you simply give up and plunk down the money for the nearest panel.  Take the time to think over what you really need to purchase.
* Do keep in mind that SHS are modular and an experienced fundi can help you figure out your starter kit on which you can keep adding over time as budget permits.

Guest post courtesy of @nitibhan 
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 (verzonden vanaf tablet)

The Great Bank Escape

Project Syndicate - A World of Ideas - the highest quality opinion ...
Corporate decisions taken in the name of shareholder value often benefit only those whose wealth is closely tied to the firm's profits, and may be harmful to many shareholders. If policymakers and regulators do not strengthen their reform efforts, taxpayers and shareholders – not bankers – will suffer the consequences of the next crisis.

Tuesday, January 1, 2013

Stephen Ellis on Africa in world: “best” book 2012

Africa Works

Worldwide, there's a growing concensus that "outsiders" (useful, for lack of a better term to describe non-residents of the sub-Saharan) ought to view Africa with a new set of spectacles. Outdated pre-conceptions still dominate outisders perceptions of what ails Africa, and how the "patient" might best be "cured." But increasingly, the dangerous stereotypes of the past – mental maps and meta-narratives that influenced all manner of wrong-headed understandings of what's happening in the sub-Saharan – are giving way to new approaches that begin with asking better questions about Africa's present and future. Probably the clearest expression of the need for looking afresh at a tired subject is this year's most important book on Africa by a professional Africanist, the eminent observer of the region's politics, Stephen Ellis.

An advisor to the Dutch government on assistance to Africa, and a professor of African studies at Leiden university in the Netherlands, Ellis has long been among the shrewdest observers of Africa. In his concise and clear book, Season of the Rains: Africa in the World, Ellis strikes a balanced position between the new optimism about Africa's future economic and social dynamism and the persistent frustrations over violent conflict, inequality and governmental under-performance.

Too many powerful actors on the world stage continue to insist that the shortcomings in what can rightly be called "the African renaissance" must inevitably undermine, if not erase, the enormous gains experienced by all levels of African society since the start of a new century a dozen years ago. Rather than embrace new ways of thinking, these veteran "Africa hands" act as if they can replay the tired, outmoded arguments for the inevitability of African failure. The continent is too diverse, and the recent examples of African achievement are too plentiful, for people seriously concerned with world affairs to fall prey to the conceptual errors of the past. Having cried wolf too many times about Africa in the past, "the best and brightest" of the international community would seem to have exhausted their franchise to consign Africa to the domain of permanent disappointments, perpetual "scars on the conscience of humanity," to paraphrase Tony Blair's unfortunate description of the region not very many years ago.

Refreshingly, a new conventional wisdom about is Africa is emerging and Professor Ellis is among the leaders in this movement to press the restart button on the image of Africa in the world. For those unaware of this movement, Season of the Rains is an excellent place to begin. This emerging view, which I among others have trumpeted since the early 2000s and which is finally gaining serious traction among popular thinkers on international relations, (see my own collection, Hotel Africa, which explores the revolution in thinking about Africa in the world) amounts to a new declaration of independence, both for political-economic thinking about Africa as a whole and for individual Africans in the world. The existential acceptance of African capability for self-governance, however imperfect, tracks the growing realization that so-called "developed nations" are themselves afflicted by serious problems, across a range of domains, that call into question legacy notions of superiority.

Ellis smartly concludes his clear, valuable book with what amounts to a new creed for understanding African affairs "We need to consider Africa's recent history in ways that have more power to explain things than either the Africa-as-victim theory or the Africa-as-imcompetent one, with their sub-variants. Only then are we equipped to understand Africa's place in a fast-changing world and to read accurately the omens concerning what more happen in the forseeable future."

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The 'Great Scam'

Economist's View

Following up the post below this one, Paul Krugman explains why it's important to realize that deficit reduction is not the true goal of Republicans, it's just a means to bring about tax cuts for the wealthy and pay for them with cuts to social services such as Medicare and Social Security:

...Remember, George W. Bush campaigned on the basis that the surplus of the late Clinton years meant that we needed to cut taxes — and Alan Greenspan provided crucial support, telling Congress that the biggest danger we faced was that we might pay off our debt too fast. Now Greenspan is helping groups like Fix the Debt.
And as Duncan Black points out, the Bush experience tells us something important about fiscal policy: namely, that when Democrats get obsessed with deficit reduction, all they do is provide a pot of money that Republicans will squander on more tax breaks for the wealthy as soon as they get a chance. Suppose Romney had won; do you have even a bit of doubt that all the supposed deficit hawks of the GOP would suddenly have discovered that unfunded tax cuts and military spending are perfectly fine?
The point is that the whole focus of budget discussion is based on a combination of bad economics and bad (and fundamentally dishonest) politics. We're looking not so much at a Grand Bargain as at a Great Scam.

Freakonomics » An Economist’s Guide to Year-End Charitable Giving

http://www.freakonomics.com/2012/12/28/an-economists-guide-to-year-end-charitable-giving/